The final texts of the semester are the three table charts,
from Oswald Spengler’s Decline of the West. The charts are a summary
explanation of Spengler’s theory that History can be predetermined. In Decline
of the West, Spengler explains that through the investigation of the past,
he has “attempted for the first time the venture of predetermining history, of
following the still untraveled stages in the destiny of a Culture’’.
Through the book and through the charts Spengler has
identified different Cultures. For each one of them he has detailed their
beginning, development, and conclusion. Or, in his words, the ‘Spring’ (the
beginning), ‘Summer, and ‘Autumn’ (the development), and ‘Winter’ (the
conclusion) of each of these Cultures.
The charts are so detailed and well thought out that part of
you can help but agree and believe them. However, here in lies the trick, the
inaccuracy that you cannot know the spring, summer, autumn and winter of a
culture until it has fully concluded. A distance is required between you and
the period you are analysing. And even in the case where it is certain that it
is finished, how can you be sure the exact moments of change between the
different ‘seasons’ of the Culture. The shifts, if they exist, are all
subjective to the analyser. There is even an element of subjectivity in History
itself. One event could be deemed really important to a specific population,
but not noteworthy for another one. Moreover the amount of cultures through
history could be more or less than the ones Spengler has selected.
There is also the mistake of if everything is predetermined
this will not insight you to do anything. The future doesn’t seem full of
possibilities, it just seems inevitable: an inevitable darkness. There needs to
be the indication of a future for there to be progress. History is proof that
there has been development; different cultures might have gone through things
that are similar but they have also learnt from each other, from what has
happened in the past. This makes me feel that. even if certain bits seem to
repeat themselves, History is linear, and maybe the reason for these repeats is
both humans make mistakes, and sometimes have to do something wrong a few times
before them learn.
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